BTC Technical Update: Still No Plans for Swing Longs 📊 It’s been about half a month since my last BTC chart update (see quoted tweet below), so here’s a quick rundown on my current technical bias for BTC. As mentioned in yesterday’s update (x.com/market_beggar/status/196...…), maybe it’s the three-day US stock market break, but even with price sitting right at the STH-RP level, BTC just refuses to make a move. Technically, BTC has printed a small stop-hunt structure on the lower timeframes. Normally, that could be enough to spark a local trend reversal and a bounce. But as marked in red on the chart, the low from this stop-hunt lines up almost exactly with the previous low on 07/05. OG followers know—these “equal highs/equal lows” are classic liquidity pools that tend to pull price in. Bottom line: even though there’s a chance for a short-term bounce, the presence of these liquidity pools means I have zero plans to swing long here. Also, someone asked yesterday: “Any key support levels to watch next?” Here’s my consolidated answer: 1️⃣ Macro bias is bearish. Waiting for a clear signal at STH-RP, should get clarity this week. 2️⃣ As I said yesterday, if we’re below STH-RP, swing longs are off the table. 3️⃣ If we break down, from a swing perspective I’m watching: - Around 103~104K - 88.9K - Any major downward stop-hunt into liquidity But heads up: I almost never set limit orders. These levels are just ballparks. I only start monitoring order flow and conditions (like strong taker activity or improving maker positioning) once price actually gets there. Pure levels aren’t that meaningful—plan > prediction. For a detailed example, check my recent post where I shared my ETH swing trade play-by-play: 📖 Full thread: How I Used Liquidity to Perfectly Predict Two ETH Pumps x.com/market_beggar/status/195...… That’s it for now—US markets open tonight, so we might finally get some direction 👀 // 📚 More resources: On-chain Data Meets TA: Full Review x.com/market_beggar/status/187...… Trading Q&A: My 2 Entry Methods for Perp Swings x.com/market_beggar/status/194...… Inside the Mind of a “700x in 4 Months” Trading God x.com/market_beggar/status/194...… Why I Never Trade Breakouts: Liquidity Hunting Traps Explained x.com/market_beggar/status/190...… Maker Strength Analysis Methodology (ETH Example) x.com/market_beggar/status/195...…
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貝格先生
@market_beggar
08-15
BTC 新高假突破:流動性獵取完成,技術性看空⚠️
昨日在 BTC 突破新高之後,並未出現強勢的上漲,
反而緩慢跌回新高之下;並且因 PPI 大幅超預期的消息,
使 BTC 出現了一波急遽的下跌,使「假突破(Stop Hunt)」得到確認。
先說結論:
從線圖的角度,我已改變 8/3 以來的波段看多觀點,開始看空。 x.com/market_beggar/…



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Disclaimer: The content above is only the author's opinion which does not represent any position of Followin, and is not intended as, and shall not be understood or construed as, investment advice from Followin.
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